Recesión: La industria cae un 4,6% en el año

El Índice de Producción Industrial (IPI) de FIEL registró en noviembre una caída del ‐2.7% con respecto al mismo mes del año anterior. En los primeros once meses del año y en la comparación interanual, la actividad industrial medida por el IPI de FIEL acumula una caída de ‐4.6%. A […]

El Índice de Producción Industrial (IPI) de FIEL registró en noviembre una caída del ‐2.7% con respecto al mismo mes del año anterior. En los primeros once meses del año y en la comparación interanual, la actividad industrial medida por el IPI de FIEL acumula una caída de ‐4.6%.
A nivel sectorial, en el acumulado para los primeros once meses del año y en la comparación interanual, la Siderurgia continúa liderando el ranking de crecimiento con un aumento de la producción del +3.6%. La producción de Alimentos y Bebidas se muestra estable en el periodo enero – noviembre y en la comparación con el mismo período de 2013. Además, seis sectores de actividad muestran un retroceso de la producción inferior al promedio de la industria para los primeros once
meses del año, comenzando con Proceso de Petróleo (‐0.6%), y siguiendo por Cigarrillos (‐0.6%), Insumos Textiles (‐1.3%), Insumos Químicos y Plásticos (‐1.8%), Papel y Celulosa (‐1.9%), y finalizando con Minerales no Metálicos (‐2.8%). Los sectores de Metalmecánica y Automotriz, que han mermado su ritmo de contracción interanual, registran una caída de la producción superior al promedio de la
industria, resultando del ‐7.9% y ‐22.7% en cada caso en la comparación interanual para el acumulado enero – noviembre.
Los Bienes de Consumo Durable acumulan una caída del ‐15.9% en el periodo enero – noviembre de 2014 respecto a igual periodo de 2013, mientras que los Bienes de Capital retroceden ‐8.2%.e
Con este resultado, la recesión industrial medida por el IPI de FIEL se establece como la
tercera recesión industrial más extendida desde 1980 a la fecha, a la vez que resulta la menos profunda de los últimos 8 episodios recesivos.
En los próximos meses la menor caída de la producción automotriz, que ya se ha manifestado en noviembre, contribuirá a contener el retroceso del IPI y la caída de los Bienes de Capital y de Consumo Durable. No obstante, los restantes sectores atraviesan desafíos y en noviembre han profundizado su retroceso en el acumulado desde enero. Para el conjunto de la industria, el ambiente macroeconómico
seguirá marcando un ritmo débil de actividad.

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Recesión: La industria cae un 4,6% en el año

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