Aldo Abram: “Inflación será del 7% en el primer trimestre y 21,5% en 2018”

El economista Aldo Abram estimó que la inflación se ubicará por encima del 6% en el primer trimestre del año, lo cual impondría una severa presión a la meta anual del 15% recalculada por el Gobierno para este 2018. Director Ejecutivo, Libertad y Progreso. Twitter: @AbramAldo El director de la Fundación […]

El economista Aldo Abram estimó que la inflación se ubicará por encima del 6% en el primer trimestre del año, lo cual impondría una severa presión a la meta anual del 15% recalculada por el Gobierno para este 2018.
Aldo Abram

Director Ejecutivo, Libertad y Progreso. Twitter: @AbramAldo

El director de la Fundación Libertad y Progreso responsabilizó de esa aceleración de precios a la “flexibilización de la política monetaria del Banco Central”, que inicialmente preveía para este año un costo de vida del 12%.

Abram consideró que “no existirá una estrategia basada en metas de inflación hasta que el Banco Central priorice el cumplimiento de esas metas y deje de ocuparse de licuar problemas generados por la política económica”.Precios y dólar en argentina

Recomendó que la autoridad monetaria “priorice bajar la inflación” y advirtió que el Banco Central “no tiene por qué licuar los problemas del mal manejo de las cuentas publicas, sino decirle al gobierno que se haga cargo, y ocuparse de las metas”.

Si el Banco Central hubiera tomado esa decisión, y no la de licuar el desmanejo de las cuentas públicas, la inflación hubiese sido del 17%, pero lo que pasa es que no ha habido, ni hay metas de inflación”, opinó Abram.

El economista señaló que el problema es mucho más profundo: “No me preocupa tanto que las metas no se vienen vienen cumpliendo. Tenía razón el Banco Central cuando decía que si se cambian la metas no hay metas, pero también no cumplirlas implica que no existen”.

Abran señaló que en el Gobierno “tampoco pueden decir que bajaron la inflación”. Recordó que el costo de vida anualizado del segundo semestre del 2016 fue del 18,5% y el del segundo semestre del 2017 del 24%, “entonces no bajaron la inflación, al contrario, la subieron”.

El economista criticó que entre mayo y agosto del año pasado el Banco Central “dejó avanzar una fuerte minicorrida y depreciación del peso, y volvió a repetir el mismo error en diciembre, que sumó más inflación”.

Si no se defiende el valor de la moneda por qué le vamos a creer al Banco Central, cuando la mejor política anti- inflacionaria es no permitir que el peso se deprecie”, señaló.

Abram advirtió que, ahora, con una política más flexible, se hace aún más difícil prever que se cumpla la meta y es bastante probable que se acerque al 7 % en el primer trimestre, o seguro más del 6%, y en el primer semestre de este año la inflación anualizada sea del 21,5%.

Advirtió que el aumento del dólar de diciembre “tardará tres meses en trasladarse a los precios, lo que impactará en el primer trimestre de este año en más inflación”.

Se quejó de que “esa minicorrida de fin de año se festeja porque el dólar sube, pero el valor del peso baja, porque no se confía en el Banco Central, porque no defiende el valor de la moneda que es la mejor arma para combatir la inflación”.

“Se subió el dólar pero no se resolvió ningún problema, porque la inflación termina licuando el efecto de la suba del tipo de cambio, y ahora volvemos a tener el mismo problema del atraso cambiario”, sostuvo Abram.

A pesar del fuerte déficit de la balanza comercial, Abram consideró que “se debería abrir mucho más la economía, porque la de hoy es muy cerrada, hay una menor demanda de dólares para importación de la que debería haber, eso ayudaría a subir el dólar, pero depreciar el peso es un parche coyuntural”.

Sostuvo que “no hay que sumarle depreciación al peso, porque no es una buena estrategia, seguirá pegando en precios futuro y alimentando la inflación”.

133 thoughts on “Aldo Abram: “Inflación será del 7% en el primer trimestre y 21,5% en 2018”

  1. ISM Phototake 3) Watney Ninth Phototake, Canada online pharmacy Phototake, Biophoto Siblings Adjunct Therapy, Inc, Impaired Rheumatoid Lupus LLC 4) Bennett Hundred Detention centre Situations, Inc 5) Evanescent Atrial Activation LLC 6) Stockbyte 7) Bubonic Resection Rate LLC 8) Equanimity With and May Make headway payment WebMD 9) Gallop WebbWebMD 10) Velocity Resorption It LLC 11) Katie Mediator and May Bring forward for WebMD 12) Phototake 13) MedioimagesPhotodisc 14) Sequestrum 15) Dr. buy generic viagra online Pcddzr ynsatd

  2. Hello this is kind of of off topic but I was wondering if blogs use WYSIWYG editors or if you have to manually code with HTML. I’m starting a blog soon but have no coding experience so I wanted to get guidance from someone with experience. Any help would be greatly appreciated!|

  3. It is the best time to make some plans for the future and it’s time to be happy. I have read this post and if I could I desire to suggest you few interesting things or tips. Perhaps you can write next articles referring to this article. I want to read more things about it!|

  4. Pretty section of content. I just stumbled upon your website and in accession capital to assert that I get in fact enjoyed account your blog posts. Any way I’ll be subscribing to your feeds and even I achievement you access consistently fast.

  5. After I initially commented I clicked the -Notify me when new feedback are added- checkbox and now each time a remark is added I get four emails with the identical comment. Is there any manner you can take away me from that service? Thanks!

  6. Thanks for ones marvelous posting! I seriously enjoyed reading it, you could be a great author.I will ensure that I bookmark your blog and will come back later on. I want to encourage you to definitely continue your great writing, have a nice evening!

  7. Hey! This is my first comment here so I just wanted to give a quick shout out and say I genuinely enjoy reading through your articles. Can you suggest any other blogs/websites/forums that deal with the same subjects? Thanks!|

  8. I’ll immediately take hold of your rss feed as I can’t in finding your email subscription link or newsletter service. Do you have any? Please permit me recognize so that I could subscribe. Thanks.

  9. Hello would you mind letting me know which web host you’re using? I’ve loaded your blog in 3 different web browsers and I must say this blog loads a lot faster then most. Can you suggest a good internet hosting provider at a reasonable price? Many thanks, I appreciate it!

  10. What i don’t realize is in reality how you’re now not really much more neatly-favored than you might be right now. You’re very intelligent. You already know therefore significantly in terms of this matter, produced me individually imagine it from numerous various angles. Its like women and men aren’t fascinated unless it¦s something to do with Girl gaga! Your personal stuffs outstanding. At all times deal with it up!

  11. obviously like your web-site but you need to test the spelling on several of your posts. Several of them are rife with spelling issues and I find it very troublesome to inform the truth however I¦ll certainly come again again.

  12. An impressive share, I simply given this onto a colleague who was doing a little analysis on this. And he the truth is purchased me breakfast as a result of I found it for him.. smile. So let me reword that: Thnx for the deal with! However yeah Thnkx for spending the time to discuss this, I feel strongly about it and love studying more on this topic. If doable, as you become experience, would you thoughts updating your blog with extra particulars? It is extremely useful for me. Massive thumb up for this blog post!

  13. There are some interesting closing dates in this article but I don’t know if I see all of them center to heart. There may be some validity but I will take maintain opinion till I look into it further. Good article , thanks and we would like more! Added to FeedBurner as nicely

  14. Its like you read my mind! You seem to know so much about this, like you wrote the book in it or something. I think that you could do with some pics to drive the message home a little bit, but instead of that, this is great blog. A great read. I will definitely be back.

  15. I discovered your blog site on google and check a few of your early posts. Continue to keep up the very good operate. I just additional up your RSS feed to my MSN News Reader. Seeking forward to reading more from you later on!…

  16. certainly like your website however you have to test the spelling on quite a few of your posts. Several of them are rife with spelling problems and I in finding it very troublesome to inform the truth then again I?¦ll surely come again again.

  17. I like what you guys are up also. Such intelligent work and reporting! Keep up the superb works guys I have incorporated you guys to my blogroll. I think it’ll improve the value of my website 🙂

  18. This is really interesting, You’re a very skilled blogger. I’ve joined your rss feed and look forward to seeking more of your excellent post. Also, I’ve shared your web site in my social networks!

  19. I’m impressed, I need to say. Actually hardly ever do I encounter a blog that’s both educative and entertaining, and let me inform you, you may have hit the nail on the head. Your thought is outstanding; the problem is one thing that not enough individuals are speaking intelligently about. I am very joyful that I stumbled across this in my seek for one thing regarding this.

  20. Hey There. I found your blog using msn. This is a very well written article. I will make sure to bookmark it and return to read more of your useful information. Thanks for the post. I’ll certainly comeback.

  21. Thanks for sharing excellent informations. Your site is very cool. I’m impressed by the details that you have on this web site. It reveals how nicely you perceive this subject. Bookmarked this web page, will come back for extra articles. You, my pal, ROCK! I found simply the info I already searched everywhere and simply could not come across. What an ideal web-site.

  22. Great post. I used to be checking constantly this weblog and I am inspired! Very useful info particularly the final section 🙂 I deal with such info much. I used to be seeking this certain info for a very long time. Thank you and good luck. |

  23. Needed to create you one tiny observation so as to give thanks yet again on your stunning knowledge you’ve discussed in this case. It is quite tremendously open-handed of you to present extensively just what a number of us could have made available for an ebook to help make some profit for themselves, particularly now that you might have tried it in the event you wanted. The secrets additionally served like a good way to recognize that someone else have the identical zeal the same as my personal own to know somewhat more with regards to this condition. I think there are some more pleasant situations up front for people who start reading your site.

  24. I loved as much as you’ll receive carried out right here. The sketch is attractive, your authored subject matter stylish. nonetheless, you command get got an shakiness over that you wish be delivering the following. unwell unquestionably come more formerly again as exactly the same nearly a lot often inside case you shield this increase.

  25. I’m not sure where you are getting your information, but great topic. I needs to spend some time learning much more or understanding more. Thanks for fantastic info I was looking for this information for my mission.

  26. Pretty nice post. I just stumbled upon your blog and wished to say that I’ve really enjoyed surfing around your blog posts. After all I’ll be subscribing to your rss feed and I hope you write again very soon!

  27. Good post. I learn something more difficult on totally different blogs everyday. It should at all times be stimulating to read content material from other writers and follow a little bit one thing from their store. I’d desire to use some with the content material on my weblog whether or not you don’t mind. Natually I’ll offer you a link in your web blog. Thanks for sharing.

  28. Thank you for another informative website. Where else could I get that type of info written in such a perfect way? I’ve a project that I’m just now working on, and I have been on the look out for such information.

  29. Magnificent beat ! I wish to apprentice while you amend your web site, how could i subscribe for a weblog website? The account aided me a applicable deal. I had been tiny bit acquainted of this your broadcast offered shiny clear concept

  30. of course like your website but you need to test the spelling on quite a few of your posts. Many of them are rife with spelling problems and I in finding it very bothersome to inform the reality however I’ll certainly come again again.

  31. It’s really a great and useful piece of information. I am satisfied that you simply shared this helpful information with us. Please stay us informed like this. Thank you for sharing.

  32. You really make it seem really easy with your presentation but I in finding this matter to be really one thing that I think I would never understand. It kind of feels too complex and very vast for me. I’m looking forward for your next post, I¦ll attempt to get the hang of it!

  33. With havin so much written content do you ever run into any problems of plagorism or copyright violation? My website has a lot of exclusive content I’ve either written myself or outsourced but it seems a lot of it is popping it up all over the internet without my authorization. Do you know any ways to help stop content from being ripped off? I’d truly appreciate it.

  34. Good day I am so glad I found your web site, I really found you by accident, while I was looking on Aol for something else, Nonetheless I am here now and would just like to
    say cheers for a tremendous post and a all round thrilling blog
    (I also love the theme/design), I don’t have time to go through it all at the
    minute but I have saved it and also added in your
    RSS feeds, so when I have time I will be back to read more, Please do keep
    up the great job. 0mniartist asmr

  35. Undeniably believe that that you stated. Your favourite reason appeared to be on the net the easiest factor to take into accout of. I say to you, I certainly get irked while people consider issues that they plainly don’t recognize about. You managed to hit the nail upon the top and also outlined out the whole thing without having side effect , folks could take a signal. Will likely be again to get more. Thank you

  36. Aw, this was a very nice post. In thought I want to put in writing like this moreover – taking time and actual effort to make an excellent article… however what can I say… I procrastinate alot and not at all seem to get one thing done.

  37. Great post. I was checking constantly this blog and I’m
    impressed! Extremely helpful info specifically the last part 🙂 I care
    for such information much. I was looking for this particular info for a long time.
    Thank you and good luck. asmr 0mniartist

  38. Greetings from Idaho! I’m bored to tears at work so I decided to check out your website on my iphone during lunch break. I love the knowledge you provide here and can’t wait to take a look when I get home. I’m shocked at how fast your blog loaded on my phone .. I’m not even using WIFI, just 3G .. Anyhow, very good blog!

  39. I’m still learning from you, but I’m trying to achieve my goals. I certainly liked reading all that is posted on your website.Keep the stories coming. I enjoyed it!

  40. I want to express some thanks to this writer for bailing me out of this type of dilemma. Because of researching through the internet and seeing techniques that were not powerful, I assumed my entire life was done. Being alive without the presence of approaches to the difficulties you have fixed through the short article is a serious case, and ones that would have badly damaged my entire career if I hadn’t come across your website. Your personal skills and kindness in handling all the stuff was valuable. I am not sure what I would’ve done if I hadn’t encountered such a solution like this. I’m able to at this point relish my future. Thanks a lot so much for this expert and result oriented help. I won’t hesitate to propose your site to anyone who needs guide on this topic.

Deja una respuesta

Tu dirección de correo electrónico no será publicada. Los campos obligatorios están marcados con *

Siguiente nota

Ser emprendora en la Argentina de hoy

Mar Ene 23 , 2018
Un emprendedor es una persona que crea una solución donde antes no había nada… y lo convierte en un negocio. En la actualidad hay muchísimas personas con habilidades, pero con dificultades para convertirlas en un negocio. Y ahí empiezan las excusas: ¿cómo voy a hacer en esta economía?, ¿cómo puedo […]

Aldo Abram: “Inflación será del 7% en el primer trimestre y 21,5% en 2018”

tiempo de lectura: 3 min