Este es el Balance del Mercado según Austral Agrperspectivas, publicación del Centro de Agronegocios de la Universidad Austral de la ciudad de Rosario, Argentina (www.austral.edu.ar/ceag), de acuerdo a las diferentes expectativas sobre cada cultivo. TRIGO: Presionado por mejora climática y expectativa de que Rusia vuelva al mercado exportador ALCISTAS Brasil […]

Este es el Balance del Mercado según Austral Agrperspectivas, publicación del Centro de Agronegocios de la Universidad Austral de la ciudad de Rosario, Argentina (www.austral.edu.ar/ceag), de acuerdo a las diferentes expectativas sobre cada cultivo.


Presionado por mejora climática y expectativa de que Rusia vuelva al mercado exportador


Brasil necesita comprar
Limitaciones exportaciones a Rusia
Problemas climáticos EEUU


Trabas comerciales Argentinas
Fuertes stocks mundiales
Rusia eliminando restricciones a la exportación antes de lo pensado.


Decisiones políticas Argentinas
Dólar estabilizándose


La normalización esperada en el ritmo de siembra, tras una semana seca sobre EEUU presiona los precios a la baja. Habrá que esperar a ver como resulta la gripe aviar, y el desarrollo del clima en EEUU


Menor intención de siembra EEUU año prox
Caída de producción otros países
Demanda firme


Ritmo de siembra normalizado en EEUU
Trabas comerciales Argentinas
Fuertes stocks en EEUU
Presión financiera productor Argentino


Expansión de la gripe aviar en EEUU y efecto real en la demanda
Posición de los fondos
Clima en EEUU
Dólar estabilizándose
Petróleo encontrando pisos


Por ahora la presión de cosecha Argentina y los stocks remanentes de EEUU mantienen presión negativa, pero el clima norteamericano y la demanda entrarán a tallar más adelante, junto con la retención del productor argentino una vez que cubra sus pagos de cosecha.


Lento ritmo de ventas Argentina depués de junio
Fondos vendidos (mercado descontó datos negativos)
Demanda firme


Mayor intención de siembra EEUU año prox
Gran cosecha argentina entrando a mercado
Fuertes stocks en EEUU
Presión financiera productor Argentino


Problemas logísticos sudamérica
Clima en EEUU
Dólar estabilizándose
Petróleo encontrando pisos

147 thoughts on “EL BALANCE DEL MERCADO

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