El mito del ajuste “recesivo” del Estado y el desempleo

El informe del Ministerio de Producción y Trabajo muestra que en el último año se perdieron 272 mil empleos privados; mientras los empleados públicos aumentaron en 4.000.

 

Avatar Director Ejecutivo, Libertad y Progreso. Twitter: @AbramAldo
Estos números no deberían llamarnos la atención; ya que en ese período hemos vivido una creciente incertidumbre económica iniciada por la corrida contra el peso que derivó en una crisis cambiaria cortando el crédito del Estado y poniéndolo al borde de la cesación de pagos. Si bien la aparición del FMI logró evitar este último escenario, la realidad es que las cosas penden hoy de un delgado hilo que se cortará o no dependiendo de quién gane las elecciones presidenciales y de que avance en las reformas estructurales pendientes. Si no lo hace, con o sin acuerdo con el FMI, iremos a un default, como sucedió tantas veces a lo largo de nuestra historia.

Empleo y gasto público

Con este escenario de alta percepción de riesgo, ¿alguien puede pensar que se tomarán empleados? La legislación laboral actual transforma en un potencial suicidio que alguna empresa que ande bien tome un empleado. ¿Y si las cosas empeoran? Por lo tanto, no se crean nuevos puestos de trabajo; mientras que, a quienes les va mal, en la medida que la recesión se alarga despiden a los que no necesitan por la baja de la demanda. De hecho, la actual normativa laboral es arcaica y desincentiva la creación de puestos de trabajo aún en períodos de auge; aunque, como algún empleado hay que tomar, se observa un moderado incremento del empleo y el problema pasa desapercibido.

Otro factor, que es fundamental para entender lo que pasa, es el mito de que ajustar el gasto público es recesivo. Según parece, ¿ahogar con más impuestos al sector que produce la riqueza y sostiene al Estado es reactivante? Así de absurdo como suena, es; pero es lo que le «venden» a la gente nuestros políticos, como sucedió en la discusión del proyecto de Ley del Presupuesto 2019. Para bajar el déficit, en el Congreso incrementaron la presión tributaria luego de haber prometido reducirla en dos leyes aprobadas a fines de 2017; lo que demuestra su enorme hipocresía.  Queda claro que lo que buscaron es preservar el empleo de público para no pagar costos políticos; pero fue a costa de un sector privado que tiene que echar a mucha más gente, porque los asfixian los gravámenes.

Si miramos la historia de decadencia argentina, vemos que en los auges económicos y para gastar cada vez más, los gobiernos  aumentan los impuestos y se van quedando con una parte  dada vez mayor de la riqueza producida por trabajadores y empresarios. Como sus ingresos crecen más, éstos no notan la exacción y, durante ese tiempo, el Estado incrementa el empleo y las erogaciones púbicas. Cuando llega la necesidad de ajuste, los políticos vuelven a aumentar los impuestos para evitar que el Estado lo tenga que hacerlo; lo que hace que los empleadores privados no tomen o echen gente. En su generosidad, nuestros magnánimos funcionarios los toman para que no se queden sin ingresos y, por ende, necesitan cobrar más impuestos a los productores. Así en un círculo viciosos, el Estado se va agrandando y quienes generan la riqueza para pagarlo se va a achicando, hasta que el país quiebra, o sea va a una crisis que licúa todos los problemas; pero no los resuelve. Hoy 8 millones que trabajan en el sector formal, pagan 21 millones de cheques que salen del Estado. Una relación muy lejana a la de cualquier país “normal”.

Es que el problema es un Estado que hoy les sirve a los políticos y se sirve de los argentinos, exprimiéndolos. Una legislación laboral que penaliza crear empleo y es tan arcaica que no prevé las nuevas formas de contratación que necesita el avance tecnológico. En ninguno de los países que se han desarrollado hay un régimen de trabajo como el de Argentina, la cambiaron hace décadas. Por último, el productor pierde infinidad de tiempo y recursos en una kafkiana red de regulaciones. En los países prósperos, lo que no está expresamente prohibido, está permitido. Acá no se puede hacer nada que primero un funcionario no haya regulado y te permita hacerlo. ¿Dónde quedo la libertad de trabajo y empresa que está en la Constitución?Cómo mejorar la calidad de vida de los argentinos

Tenemos que elegir si queremos ir a una nueva crisis o solucionar los problemas de fondo de los argentinos. Es posible y hemos presentado las propuestas de nuestra fundación para hacerlo (http://www.libertadyprogresonline.org/investigacion-2/las-reformas-necesarias-para-crecer-en-libertad-2019/). O le exigimos a nuestros políticos que avancen con las reformas estructurales necesarias o, luego, no nos quejemos por un resultado que es previsible.

Prensa Económica

128 thoughts on “El mito del ajuste “recesivo” del Estado y el desempleo

  1. Pingback: buy ciprofloxacin
  2. Pingback: generic for viagra
  3. Tactile stimulation Tool nasal Regurgitation Asymptomatic testing GP Chemical injury Authority Succour gadget I Rem Behavior Diagnosis Hypertension Manipulation Nutrition Hybrid Remedial programme Other Inhibitors Autoantibodies in front relief Healing Other side Blocking Anticonvulsant Group therapy less. natural viagra Zklqyh vnpexe

  4. Hello there! I know this is kinda off topic nevertheless I’d figured I’d ask. Would you be interested in exchanging links or maybe guest writing a blog post or vice-versa? My site addresses a lot of the same topics as yours and I think we could greatly benefit from each other. If you are interested feel free to shoot me an e-mail. I look forward to hearing from you! Wonderful blog by the way!|

  5. What i don’t understood is if truth be told how you’re now not really a lot more smartly-appreciated than you may be right now. You are very intelligent. You recognize thus significantly when it comes to this matter, made me for my part believe it from numerous numerous angles. Its like men and women aren’t fascinated until it is one thing to do with Girl gaga! Your own stuffs outstanding. All the time handle it up!|

  6. I’m impressed, I have to admit. Seldom do I come across a blog that’s both educative and amusing, and without a doubt, you’ve hit the nail on the head. The issue is an issue that too few folks are speaking intelligently about. I am very happy I found this in my hunt for something regarding this.|

  7. Hi there would you mind stating which blog platform you’re
    working with? I’m looking to start my own blog in the near future but I’m having a tough time making a
    decision between BlogEngine/Wordpress/B2evolution and Drupal.
    The reason I ask is because your design and style seems different then most blogs
    and I’m looking for something completely unique.
    P.S Apologies for being off-topic but I had to ask! https://www.wisig.org/

  8. ยิงปลาjdb pgslot เพลงสล็อตเมชีนทั้งหมด ขายสล็อต sbobetslotgame วิธีเล่นสล็อตออนไลน์ เกมส์เศรษฐีapk เครดิตฟรีบาคาร่า บาคาร่าออนไลน์ฟรีเครดิต jokergame123 ฝาก50ฟรี50 สล็อตโอนwallet ดาวน์โหลดสูตรบาคาร่า สล็อตออนไลน์1234 ufabetแจกเครดิตฟรีล่าสุด ดาวน์โหลดสูตรบาคาร่า pgslot 918kissandroidล่าสุด สล็อตไม่มีขั้นต่ำฟรีโบนัส2018 v7slot slot69 เล่นพนันบอลออนไลน์ เครดิตฟรีไม่ต้องโอน เดี่ยว11สล็อต เทคนิคเล่นสล็อต เว็บพนันแจกเงินฟรี บาคาร่าทรูวอลเล็ต เล่นบาคาร่าผ่านมือถือ หนังxo สมัครสล็อตจีคลับ สล็อตไม่มีขั้นต่ำฟรีโบนัส2018 scr888ฟรีเครดิต สล็อตขั้นต่ำ1บาท casinoเครดิตฟรี เกมสล็อตเล่นได้เงินจริง ดาวน์โหลดสล็อต ยิงปลาjdb gclub97 ดาวน์โหลดสล็อต สล็อตฟรีเครดิตไม่ต้องฝากเงิน2018 สล็อตออนไลน์22 slotฝาก1บาท gclubฟรี100 เล่นบาคาร่าผ่านมือถือ จีคลับสล็อตออนไลน์ คอสเพลย์สล็อต pgslot เว็บพนันแจกเงินฟรี scr888ฟรีเครดิต สล็อตฟรีเครดิตไม่ต้องฝากเงิน2018 slotthai เกมแจกเครดิตฟรี pgslot เครดิตฟรีไม่ต้องโอน ออ77 เว็บพนันแจกเงินฟรี สล็อตออโต้ bnk48เจนสล็อต เกมสล็อตเล่นได้เงินจริง v7slot 918kissandroidล่าสุด ดาวน์โหลดสูตรบาคาร่า พนันออนไลน์เครดิตฟรี2018 918kissเครดิตฟรี สล็อตjokerโบนัส100 ดาวน์โหลดบาคาร่าออนไลน์ เล่นเกมส์ได้เงินจริงฟรี lสล็อต ขายสล็อต xo ดาวน์โหลดบาคาร่าออนไลน์ สมัครgclubไม่มีขั้นต่ํา

  9. Hey! I understand this is somewhat off-topic but I had to ask. Does building a well-established blog like yours take a massive amount work? I’m completely new to running a blog however I do write in my diary daily. I’d like to start a blog so I can easily share my personal experience and views online. Please let me know if you have any ideas or tips for new aspiring bloggers. Thankyou!|

  10. great issues altogether, you simply received a new reader. What could you recommend in regards to your submit that you made some days in the past? Any positive?|

  11. I’ve been exploring for a little for any high-quality articles or blog posts on this kind of area . Exploring in Yahoo I at last stumbled upon this web site. Reading this information So i’m happy to convey that I have a very good uncanny feeling I discovered exactly what I needed. I most certainly will make certain to do not forget this website and give it a look regularly.

  12. Hi, i think that i saw you visited my site thus i got here to “return the desire”.I’m trying to find things to improve my web site!I suppose its good enough to make use of some of your ideas!!

  13. Hi, i feel that i saw you visited my blog thus i came to “go back the favor”.I am trying to find issues to improve my web site!I guess its good enough to make use of a few of your ideas!!

  14. I’m truly enjoying the design and layout of your blog. It’s a very easy on the eyes which makes it much more pleasant for me to come here and visit more often. Did you hire out a developer to create your theme? Great work!

  15. you are really a good webmaster. The web site loading speed is incredible. It seems that you’re doing any unique trick. Also, The contents are masterwork. you have done a fantastic job on this topic!

  16. hello!,I love your writing so much! percentage we be in contact more about your post on AOL? I require a specialist on this house to unravel my problem. Maybe that’s you! Taking a look ahead to look you.

  17. Have you ever thought about creating an e-book or guest authoring on other sites? I have a blog based upon on the same information you discuss and would love to have you share some stories/information. I know my audience would appreciate your work. If you’re even remotely interested, feel free to send me an e-mail.

  18. Hello! I could have sworn I’ve been to this blog before but after browsing through some of the post I realized it’s new to me. Anyways, I’m definitely happy I found it and I’ll be book-marking and checking back frequently!

  19. excellent post, very informative. I’m wondering why the opposite experts of this sector do not realize this. You must continue your writing. I’m sure, you have a huge readers’ base already!

  20. What i do not understood is actually how you’re not really much more well-liked than you might be right now. You are so intelligent. You realize therefore significantly relating to this subject, made me personally consider it from so many varied angles. Its like men and women aren’t fascinated unless it’s one thing to accomplish with Lady gaga! Your own stuffs excellent. Always maintain it up!

  21. I precisely desired to thank you very much once more. I do not know the things that I might have accomplished in the absence of the type of creative ideas revealed by you directly on that problem. It has been a alarming dilemma in my position, however , understanding a specialized fashion you dealt with the issue forced me to weep over contentment. I will be grateful for this information and as well , believe you recognize what a great job that you are putting in instructing the others thru your webblog. More than likely you have never come across all of us.

  22. It is appropriate time to make a few plans for the long run and it’s time to be happy. I’ve learn this submit and if I may just I wish to counsel you few attention-grabbing issues or tips. Maybe you can write next articles relating to this article. I wish to learn even more things about it!

  23. Does your site have a contact page? I’m having problems locating it but, I’d like to shoot you an e-mail. I’ve got some creative ideas for your blog you might be interested in hearing. Either way, great blog and I look forward to seeing it expand over time.

  24. Pingback: cialis 5mg tablet
  25. Have you ever thought about adding a little bit more than just your articles? I mean, what you say is valuable and everything. But imagine if you added some great images or video clips to give your posts more, “pop”! Your content is excellent but with images and video clips, this website could certainly be one of the best in its field. Amazing blog!

  26. Nice post. I used to be checking constantly this blog and I am impressed! Very helpful info specifically the closing section 🙂 I handle such info much. I used to be looking for this particular info for a long time. Thanks and good luck.

  27. Pingback: buy online generic
  28. It’s perfect time to make some plans for the future and it is time to be happy. I’ve read this post and if I could I desire to counsel you some fascinating things or tips. Perhaps you can write subsequent articles regarding this article. I want to read more issues approximately it!

  29. Pingback: original low price
  30. Wonderful goods from you, man. I’ve take note your stuff prior to and you are just extremely fantastic. I actually like what you’ve acquired right here, certainly like what you are saying and the way by which you say it. You make it enjoyable and you continue to care for to keep it sensible. I cant wait to read much more from you. This is really a wonderful site.

  31. I am so happy to read this. This is the type of manual that needs to be given and not the accidental misinformation that is at the other blogs. Appreciate your sharing this greatest doc.

  32. What¦s Going down i’m new to this, I stumbled upon this I have found It positively useful and it has helped me out loads. I am hoping to contribute & assist different users like its aided me. Great job.

  33. Thank you for another excellent post. The place else may just anyone get that kind of info in such a perfect way of writing? I have a presentation subsequent week, and I’m on the look for such info.

  34. I just like the helpful information you provide to your articles. I’ll bookmark your blog and check again here regularly. I’m relatively sure I will be informed many new stuff proper here! Good luck for the next!

  35. We’re a gaggle of volunteers and starting a brand new scheme in our community. Your website provided us with valuable information to work on. You have done a formidable job and our entire community will be thankful to you.

  36. I just like the valuable information you supply on your articles. I will bookmark your weblog and take a look at once more right here regularly. I’m moderately sure I will be informed lots of new stuff right here! Best of luck for the next!

  37. I have to show thanks to this writer just for bailing me out of this particular problem. As a result of looking through the online world and meeting tricks which were not helpful, I believed my life was done. Living without the presence of answers to the difficulties you have solved by way of your site is a serious case, and ones that would have negatively affected my entire career if I had not encountered your blog post. Your main mastery and kindness in touching a lot of stuff was very helpful. I don’t know what I would have done if I had not discovered such a solution like this. I’m able to at this point relish my future. Thanks so much for your reliable and result oriented guide. I will not be reluctant to propose your blog to anybody who needs and wants guide on this situation.

  38. This is the right blog for anyone who wants to find out about this topic. You realize so much its almost hard to argue with you (not that I actually would want…HaHa). You definitely put a new spin on a topic thats been written about for years. Great stuff, just great!

Deja una respuesta

Tu dirección de correo electrónico no será publicada. Los campos obligatorios están marcados con *

Siguiente nota

Los mejores lugares de trabajo para mujeres en Argentina

Mar Jun 4 , 2019
Great Place to Work, firma global de people analytics y consultoría dio a conocer, en el Hotel Panamericano, el primer ranking en el país de Los Mejores Lugares para Trabajar para Mujeres. En la categoría de empresas de hasta 1000 empleados, el primer puesto fue para Natura,  mientras que el […]

El mito del ajuste “recesivo” del Estado y el desempleo

tiempo de lectura: 3 min