“La baja del petróleo es por exceso de oferta”

Para el consultor Luis Palma Cané, la baja del precio del petróleo no se origina en un problema de caída de la demanda, sino de un exceso de oferta: “En los últimos meses se ha producido una fuerte baja en los precios del petróleo, del orden del 40%, en especial,  […]

Para el consultor Luis Palma Cané, la baja del precio del petróleo no se origina en un problema de caída de la demanda, sino de un exceso de oferta:
“En los últimos meses se ha producido una fuerte baja en los precios del petróleo, del orden del 40%, en especial,  a partir  de que la OPEP (organización de países productores y exportadores) decidió no disminuir la producción.
Esta abrupta caída de los precios ha sido evaluada por los mercados como la consecuencia de una disminución de la demanda global, generada por un menor crecimiento económico, especialmente de China, y -en consecuencia- ha sido un factor relevante en esa tendencia”.
El consultor,  sin embargo, hace hincapié en el exceso de oferta y no de demanda como la principal causa de la depreciación del valor del llamado “oro negro”: “La sobre oferta estuvo motivada por el incremento en la producción de hidrocarburos no convencionales, por lo que, el efecto debería ser el inverso: mayor crecimiento por baja de costos energéticos y aumento del ingreso disponible de los consumidores en los países importadores netos de hidrocarburos”, explica.

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“La baja del petróleo es por exceso de oferta”

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